Analysis Result #5908

{
  "analysis": {
    "input_data": {
      "article": "Title: Meesho IPO Day 3: \u20b95,421 crore issue subscribed 16x so far; Check GMP\n\nPublished: 2025-12-05\n\nContent: At the upper end of the price band, Meesho\u0027s market capitalisation would be close to \u20b950,000 crore, while promoter holding will fall from 19.08% to 16.76%.",
      "full_prompt_sent_to_llm": "=== NEWS ARTICLE ===\nTitle: Meesho IPO Day 3: \u20b95,421 crore issue subscribed 16x so far; Check GMP\n\nPublished: 2025-12-05\n\nContent: At the upper end of the price band, Meesho\u0027s market capitalisation would be close to \u20b950,000 crore, while promoter holding will fall from 19.08% to 16.76%.\n\n=== TOP MATCHING STOCK FROM RAG ===\n\nSymbol: IIFLCAPS.NS\nCompany: IIFL Capital Services Limited\nSector: Financial Services\nIndustry: Capital Markets\nSimilarity Score: 0.4164 (41.64%)\n\nMarket Data:\n\u2022 Current Price: 358.80\n\u2022 Previous Close: 350.45\n\u2022 Day Low: 347.3\n\u2022 Day High: 367.35\n\u2022 52-Week Low: 180.0\n\u2022 52-Week High: 386.7\n\u2022 Volume: 947151\n\u2022 Avg Volume: 500872\n\nAdvanced Technical Indicators (21 total):\nClose_3d:345.60,350.45,358.80 | RSI:75.62 | MACD:14.115/7.716/6.399 | BB:364.10/310.66/257.22 | MA:310.66/307.19 | ATR:12.53 | OBV:10,119,871 | WillR:-10.52 | CMF:0.2966 | Ichi:332.95/319.78/326.36/319.78 | PSAR:335.86 | Aroon:100.00/32.00 | VWAP:304.64 | Force:5017377.52 | Mass:25.38 | Coppock:41.52 | UltOsc:63.55\n\nQuantitative Risk \u0026 Performance Metrics (35 total):\nAvgVol:538,558 | Price:358.80 | VaR:-0.0507/-0.0662 | CVaR:-0.0613/-0.0716 | Std:0.0326 | AnnVol:0.5183 | DownDev:0.0287 | Skew:0.5107 | Kurt:0.8354 | Sharpe:0.4245 | MaxDD:-0.4788 | VolRat:3.4551 | P/MA20:1.1550 | P/MA50:1.1680 | VolReg:0.7721 | Mom:0.2895/0.1048 | MeanRet:0.0009 | W/L:0.88 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:0.000000 | VolSurp:0.6555 | Omega:1.0773 | Sortino:0.5153 | TailR:1.2330 | ESRat:1.2092 | Hurst:0.2569 | HalfL:50.42 | Mom120:0.5710 | ApEn:0.6141\n\n=== ANALYZE THE ARTICLE (use RAG context if relevant) ===",
      "rag_context": {
        "company": "IIFL Capital Services Limited",
        "country": "India",
        "description_preview": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: IIFLCAPS.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: IIFL Capital Services Limited\n[SECTOR]: Financial Services\n[INDUSTRY]: Capital Markets\n[COUNTRY]: India\n----------------------------------------------------...",
        "full_description": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: IIFLCAPS.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: IIFL Capital Services Limited\n[SECTOR]: Financial Services\n[INDUSTRY]: Capital Markets\n[COUNTRY]: India\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\ncountry - India\nindustry - Capital Markets\nsector - Financial Services\nlongBusinessSummary - IIFL Capital Services Limited provides capital market services in the primary and secondary markets in India. The company offers an investment and trading platform for equities, commodities, currency, and margin trade funding; investment solutions, including equity, debt, alternative investment funds, insurance, and others; and equity, debt, commodities, and currency broking, as well as corporate access, research, depository participant services, and merchant banking. It also provides investment banking services consisting of initial public offerings, qualified institutional placement, right issues, preferential placement, follow-on public offer, buybacks of share, tender offers, and delisting services; and private equity advisory services, and mergers and acquisitions. In addition, the company distributes third-party financial products, such as mutual funds, insurance, portfolio management services, alternate investment funds, fixed income, and healthcare and wellness products. Further, it operates a mobile trading application under the IIFL Markets brand name. It serves institutional and non-institutional investors, foreign portfolio investors, private equity funds, mutual funds, insurance companies, pension funds, corporates, alternative investment funds, trusts, high net-worth and ultra-high net-worth individuals, and affluent investors. The company was formerly known as IIFL Securities Limited and changed its name to IIFL Capital Services Limited in November 2024. IIFL Capital Services Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Mumbai, India.\nfullTimeEmployees - 1558\npreviousClose - 350.45\nopen - 349.8\ndayLow - 347.3\ndayHigh - 367.35\nregularMarketDayLow - 347.3\nregularMarketDayHigh - 367.35\ndividendRate - 3.0\ndividendYield - 0.86\nexDividendDate - 1739750400\npayoutRatio - 0.1397\nfiveYearAvgDividendYield - 2.64\nbeta - 0.395\ntrailingPE - 16.70391\nvolume - 947151\nregularMarketVolume - 947151\naverageVolume - 500872\naverageVolume10days - 581473\naverageDailyVolume10Day - 581473\nmarketCap - 111359975424\nfiftyTwoWeekLow - 180.0\nfiftyTwoWeekHigh - 386.7\npriceToSalesTrailing12Months - 4.674\nfiftyDayAverage - 306.054\ntwoHundredDayAverage - 279.9806\ntrailingAnnualDividendRate - 0.0\ntrailingAnnualDividendYield - 0.0\ncurrency - INR\nenterpriseValue - 72809914368\nprofitMargins - 0.29611\nfloatShares - 115461344\nsharesOutstanding - 310367829\nheldPercentInsiders - 0.62089\nheldPercentInstitutions - 0.14109999\nbookValue - 81.123\npriceToBook - 4.422913\nearningsQuarterlyGrowth - -0.038\nnetIncomeToCommon - 7054831104\ntrailingEps - 21.48\nenterpriseToRevenue - 3.056\nlastDividendValue - 3.0\nquoteType - EQUITY\ncurrentPrice - 358.8\nrecommendationKey - none\ntotalCash - 44960665600\ntotalCashPerShare - 145.394\ntotalDebt - 9372265472\ntotalRevenue - 23825414144\ndebtToEquity - 37.34\nrevenuePerShare - 76.972\ngrossProfits - 15558699008\nearningsGrowth - -0.071\nrevenueGrowth - 0.067\ngrossMargins - 0.65303004\nebitdaMargins - 0.0\noperatingMargins - 0.35551\nregularMarketPrice - 358.8\nlongName - IIFL Capital Services Limited\nshortName - IIFL CAPITAL SERVICES LTD\nepsTrailingTwelveMonths - 21.48\nexchange - NSI\ntrailingPegRatio - None\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[BUSINESS SUMMARY]\nIIFL Capital Services Limited provides capital market services in the primary and secondary markets in India. The company offers an investment and trading platform for equities, commodities, currency, and margin trade funding; investment solutions, including equity, debt, alternative investment funds, insurance, and others; and equity, debt, commodities, and currency broking, as well as corporate access, research, depository participant services, and merchant banking. It also provides investment banking services consisting of initial public offerings, qualified institutional placement, right issues, preferential placement, follow-on public offer, buybacks of share, tender offers, and delisting services; and private equity advisory services, and mergers and acquisitions. In addition, the company distributes third-party financial products, such as mutual funds, insurance, portfolio management services, alternate investment funds, fixed income, and healthcare and wellness products. Further, it operates a mobile trading application under the IIFL Markets brand name. It serves institutional and non-institutional investors, foreign portfolio investors, private equity funds, mutual funds, insurance companies, pension funds, corporates, alternative investment funds, trusts, high net-worth and ultra-high net-worth individuals, and affluent investors. The company was formerly known as IIFL Securities Limited and changed its name to IIFL Capital Services Limited in November 2024. IIFL Capital Services Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Mumbai, India.\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[IMPORTANT METRICS]\nCompany: IIFL Capital Services Limited\nSector: Financial Services\nIndustry: Capital Markets\nCountry: India\nMarket Cap: 111.36B\nCurrent Price: 358.8\nP/E Ratio: 16.70391\nP/B Ratio: 4.422913\nDividend Yield: 0.8600%\nProfit Margin: 0.2961\nBeta: 0.3950\nVolume: 947,151\nAvg Volume: 500,872\nDay Range: 347.3 - 367.35\n52Wk Range: 180.0 - 386.7\nTotal Revenue: 23825414144\nTotal Cash: 44.96B\nTotal Debt: 9.37B\nDebt to Equity: 37.34\nRecommendation: none\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[TECHNICAL] Close_3d:345.60,350.45,358.80 | RSI:75.62 | MACD:14.115/7.716/6.399 | BB:364.10/310.66/257.22 | MA:310.66/307.19 | ATR:12.53 | OBV:10,119,871 | WillR:-10.52 | CMF:0.2966 | Ichi:332.95/319.78/326.36/319.78 | PSAR:335.86 | Aroon:100.00/32.00 | VWAP:304.64 | Force:5017377.52 | Mass:25.38 | Coppock:41.52 | UltOsc:63.55\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[QUANT] AvgVol:538,558 | Price:358.80 | VaR:-0.0507/-0.0662 | CVaR:-0.0613/-0.0716 | Std:0.0326 | AnnVol:0.5183 | DownDev:0.0287 | Skew:0.5107 | Kurt:0.8354 | Sharpe:0.4245 | MaxDD:-0.4788 | VolRat:3.4551 | P/MA20:1.1550 | P/MA50:1.1680 | VolReg:0.7721 | Mom:0.2895/0.1048 | MeanRet:0.0009 | W/L:0.88 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:0.000000 | VolSurp:0.6555 | Omega:1.0773 | Sortino:0.5153 | TailR:1.2330 | ESRat:1.2092 | Hurst:0.2569 | HalfL:50.42 | Mom120:0.5710 | ApEn:0.6141",
        "industry": "Capital Markets",
        "sector": "Financial Services",
        "similarity_score": 0.416384697,
        "symbol": "IIFLCAPS.NS"
      }
    },
    "llm_analysis": {
      "actionable_summary": {
        "action": "watch",
        "bias": "bullish",
        "headline": "Meesho IPO 16x subscribed, listing pop likely",
        "rationale": "Strong demand but valuation stretched"
      },
      "between_lines": "Market hungry for new-economy paper; modest promoter sell-down keeps skin in game",
      "confidence_score": 75,
      "connections": {
        "affects_directly": [
          "Meesho"
        ],
        "affects_indirectly": [
          "Indian IPO market",
          "consumer-tech listings"
        ],
        "cause_effect_chain": "oversubscription \u2192 listing pop \u2192 sector rerating",
        "follow_the_money": "liquidity chasing new-age tech listings"
      },
      "core": {
        "action": "ipo",
        "momentum": "building",
        "momentum_reasoning": "16x oversubscription on day 3 indicates strong retail/HNI appetite, typical IPO momentum builds toward final day",
        "sector": "Technology",
        "topic": "IPO subscription",
        "trigger": "Meesho IPO subscribed 16x on day 3"
      },
      "cross_stock_impact": [],
      "data_quality": {
        "article_length_tokens": 85,
        "has_financial_data": true,
        "has_price_data": false,
        "has_sentiment_indicators": true,
        "missing_critical_info": [
          "price band",
          "GMP figure"
        ],
        "overall_quality_score": 0.65
      },
      "deals": {
        "counterparty": [],
        "deal_currency": "INR",
        "deal_size": 5421000000,
        "deal_type": "ipo"
      },
      "entities": [
        {
          "name": "Meesho",
          "role": "issuer",
          "ticker": null,
          "type": "company"
        }
      ],
      "financials": {
        "buyback": null,
        "data_source": "article",
        "dividend": null,
        "funding_amount": 5421000000,
        "guidance": null,
        "profit": null,
        "revenue": null,
        "valuation": 50000000000
      },
      "market_reaction": {
        "expected_impact": "Inference: Positive sentiment for consumer-tech IPOs",
        "index_impact": [],
        "price_change": null,
        "volume_change": null
      },
      "numerical_extractions": {
        "fiscal_period": null,
        "mentioned_prices": [],
        "mentioned_targets": [],
        "poll_source": null,
        "profit_change_pct": null,
        "revenue_change_pct": null,
        "volume_growth_yoy_pct": null
      },
      "patterns": {
        "pattern_reasoning": "Day-3 oversubscription of 16x places issue in strong demand zone, promoter dilution modest",
        "pattern_type": "ipo",
        "similar_past_event": null,
        "stage": "middle",
        "strength": "strong"
      },
      "rag_alignment": {
        "rag_company_relevant": "no",
        "relevance_reasoning": "RAG similarity 0.4164 \u003c 0.7; article about Meesho IPO, RAG stock is IIFL Capital Services \u2013 different company, sector and event",
        "should_prioritize_rag": false,
        "similarity_interpretation": "weak_connection"
      },
      "reasoning_chain": [
        "Meesho IPO 16x subscribed day 3",
        "\u20b95,421 cr issue size",
        "Promoter holding drops 2.3 ppt to 16.76%",
        "Valuation \u20b950k cr at upper band",
        "Listing pop expected"
      ],
      "red_flags": [
        "Promoter stake falls only 2.3 ppt",
        "No GMP figure given",
        "Upper price band valuation \u20b950k cr not cheap"
      ],
      "sentiment": {
        "confidence": 0.9,
        "direction": "positive",
        "drivers": [
          "16x oversubscription",
          "\u20b95,421 crore issue size",
          "GMP tracking"
        ],
        "intensity": 0.8
      },
      "signals": {
        "crowd_behavior": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "FOMO"
        },
        "key_levels": {
          "source": "article",
          "values": []
        },
        "price_action_expected": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "spike"
        },
        "reaction_reasoning": "16x subscription implies listing pop; GMP watching",
        "volume_expectation": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "surge"
        }
      },
      "smart_money": {
        "big_players": [
          "retail investors",
          "HNI"
        ],
        "evidence": "16x subscription driven by retail/HNI portion",
        "retail_position": "following",
        "their_likely_motive": "list pop gain"
      },
      "timing": {
        "catalyst_date": "2025-12-07",
        "expected_duration_days": 5,
        "temporal_anchor": "2025-12-05",
        "urgency": "this_week"
      },
      "trading_angles": [
        {
          "conviction": "medium",
          "idea": "Apply in last day for listing pop",
          "reasoning": "Strong demand but limited oversubscription headroom left",
          "risk": "Allotment lottery, listing below pop"
        }
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "model_params": {
        "max_completion_tokens": 8192,
        "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-instruct-0905",
        "reasoning_effort": "medium",
        "stream": false,
        "temperature": 0.4,
        "top_p": 0.9
      },
      "timing": {
        "end_time": "2025-12-06T01:30:51.898874",
        "llm_response_seconds": 3.218,
        "rag_query_seconds": 1.337,
        "start_time": "2025-12-06T01:30:47.342683",
        "total_duration_seconds": 4.556
      },
      "tokens": {
        "actual_from_api": {
          "input_tokens": 4648,
          "output_tokens": 857,
          "total_tokens": 5505
        }
      }
    },
    "rag_match": {
      "company": "IIFL Capital Services Limited",
      "sector": "Financial Services",
      "similarity_score": 0.416384697,
      "symbol": "IIFLCAPS.NS"
    },
    "timestamp": "2025-12-06T01:30:51.899174"
  },
  "article_id": "b90c6f0e-bf72-4b0b-b22f-de39dcf03ee1",
  "result_id": "20251206_013051",
  "status": "completed"
}