Analysis Result #5905

{
  "analysis": {
    "input_data": {
      "article": "Title: Kaynes Technology share drops over 8% as brokerages Kotak, JP Morgan raise red flags\n\nPublished: 2025-12-05\n\nContent: Kaynes Technology shares dropped over 8% amid accounting concerns raised by brokerages. Kotak highlighted inconsistencies in financial disclosures, while JPMorgan advised caution due to weak cash flows and balance sheet pressures.\u0026amp;nbsp;",
      "full_prompt_sent_to_llm": "=== NEWS ARTICLE ===\nTitle: Kaynes Technology share drops over 8% as brokerages Kotak, JP Morgan raise red flags\n\nPublished: 2025-12-05\n\nContent: Kaynes Technology shares dropped over 8% amid accounting concerns raised by brokerages. Kotak highlighted inconsistencies in financial disclosures, while JPMorgan advised caution due to weak cash flows and balance sheet pressures.\u0026amp;nbsp;\n\n=== TOP MATCHING STOCK FROM RAG ===\n\nSymbol: KAYNES.NS\nCompany: Kaynes Technology India Limited\nSector: Technology\nIndustry: Electronic Components\nSimilarity Score: 0.4769 (47.69%)\n\nMarket Data:\n\u2022 Current Price: 6704.00\n\u2022 Previous Close: 6867.0\n\u2022 Day Low: 6688.0\n\u2022 Day High: 6935.0\n\u2022 52-Week Low: 3825.15\n\u2022 52-Week High: 7822.0\n\u2022 Volume: 359698\n\u2022 Avg Volume: 584945\n\nAdvanced Technical Indicators (21 total):\nClose_3d:6862.50,6867.00,6704.00 | RSI:39.88 | MACD:-26.110/46.480/-72.589 | BB:7617.98/7121.77/6625.57 | MA:7121.77/6829.15 | ATR:219.88 | OBV:12,715,882 | WillR:-98.43 | CMF:-0.2665 | Ichi:6935.50/7196.50/7066.00/6728.25 | PSAR:7109.93 | Aroon:56.00/100.00 | VWAP:6306.07 | Force:-29402867.89 | Mass:25.54 | Coppock:-18.04 | UltOsc:29.86\n\nQuantitative Risk \u0026 Performance Metrics (35 total):\nAvgVol:653,072 | Price:6704.00 | VaR:-0.0460/-0.0881 | CVaR:-0.0680/-0.1054 | Std:0.0301 | AnnVol:0.4778 | DownDev:0.0304 | Skew:-0.0716 | Kurt:2.2326 | Sharpe:0.6411 | MaxDD:-0.4799 | VolRat:3.1851 | P/MA20:0.9413 | P/MA50:0.9817 | VolReg:0.8868 | Mom:-0.0536/0.1664 | MeanRet:0.0013 | W/L:1.15 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:0.000000 | VolSurp:-0.3286 | Omega:1.1268 | Sortino:0.6657 | TailR:1.1754 | ESRat:1.4784 | Hurst:0.2976 | HalfL:42.43 | Mom120:0.1645 | ApEn:0.5463\n\n=== ANALYZE THE ARTICLE (use RAG context if relevant) ===",
      "rag_context": {
        "company": "Kaynes Technology India Limited",
        "country": "India",
        "description_preview": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: KAYNES.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Kaynes Technology India Limited\n[SECTOR]: Technology\n[INDUSTRY]: Electronic Components\n[COUNTRY]: India\n------------------------------------------------------...",
        "full_description": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: KAYNES.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Kaynes Technology India Limited\n[SECTOR]: Technology\n[INDUSTRY]: Electronic Components\n[COUNTRY]: India\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\ncountry - India\nindustry - Electronic Components\nsector - Technology\nlongBusinessSummary - Kaynes Technology India Limited operates as an end-to-end and IoT solutions-enabled integrated electronics manufacturer in India and internationally. It provides conceptual design, process engineering, integrated manufacturing, and life cycle support for various industries including automotive, industrial, aerospace and defence, outer-space, nuclear, medical, railways, internet of things, information technology, and other industries. Kaynes Technology India Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in Mysore, India.\npreviousClose - 6867.0\nopen - 6910.0\ndayLow - 6688.0\ndayHigh - 6935.0\nregularMarketDayLow - 6688.0\nregularMarketDayHigh - 6935.0\npayoutRatio - 0.0\nbeta - -0.301\ntrailingPE - 135.59871\nforwardPE - 96.39108\nvolume - 359698\nregularMarketVolume - 359698\naverageVolume - 584945\naverageVolume10days - 532311\naverageDailyVolume10Day - 532311\nmarketCap - 459063066624\nfiftyTwoWeekLow - 3825.15\nfiftyTwoWeekHigh - 7822.0\npriceToSalesTrailing12Months - 15.877723\nfiftyDayAverage - 6851.3\ntwoHundredDayAverage - 5736.422\ntrailingAnnualDividendRate - 0.0\ntrailingAnnualDividendYield - 0.0\ncurrency - INR\nenterpriseValue - 438669639680\nprofitMargins - 0.10973\nfloatShares - 28795001\nsharesOutstanding - 67034654\nheldPercentInsiders - 0.55052\nheldPercentInstitutions - 0.2859\nbookValue - 443.207\npriceToBook - 15.126115\nearningsQuarterlyGrowth - 0.469\nnetIncomeToCommon - 3172679936\ntrailingEps - 49.44\nforwardEps - 69.55\nenterpriseToRevenue - 15.172\nenterpriseToEbitda - 98.125\nquoteType - EQUITY\ncurrentPrice - 6704.0\ntargetHighPrice - 8604.0\ntargetLowPrice - 4955.0\ntargetMeanPrice - 6740.2607\ntargetMedianPrice - 6550.0\nrecommendationMean - 2.54545\nrecommendationKey - hold\nnumberOfAnalystOpinions - 23\ntotalCash - 10466769920\ntotalCashPerShare - 163.328\nebitda - 4470532608\ntotalDebt - 9029770240\ntotalRevenue - 28912400384\ndebtToEquity - 31.748\nrevenuePerShare - 417.174\ngrossProfits - 9515650048\nearningsGrowth - 0.07\nrevenueGrowth - 0.336\ngrossMargins - 0.32911998\nebitdaMargins - 0.15461999\noperatingMargins - 0.14465\nepsTrailingTwelveMonths - 49.44\nepsCurrentYear - 69.64299\nshortName - KAYNES TECHNOLOGY IND LTD\nlongName - Kaynes Technology India Limited\nexchange - NSI\nregularMarketPrice - 6704.0\ntrailingPegRatio - None\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[BUSINESS SUMMARY]\nKaynes Technology India Limited operates as an end-to-end and IoT solutions-enabled integrated electronics manufacturer in India and internationally. It provides conceptual design, process engineering, integrated manufacturing, and life cycle support for various industries including automotive, industrial, aerospace and defence, outer-space, nuclear, medical, railways, internet of things, information technology, and other industries. Kaynes Technology India Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in Mysore, India.\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[IMPORTANT METRICS]\nCompany: Kaynes Technology India Limited\nSector: Technology\nIndustry: Electronic Components\nCountry: India\nMarket Cap: 459.06B\nCurrent Price: 6704.0\nP/E Ratio: 135.59871\nP/B Ratio: 15.126115\nProfit Margin: 0.1097\nBeta: -0.3010\nVolume: 359,698\nAvg Volume: 584,945\nDay Range: 6688.0 - 6935.0\n52Wk Range: 3825.15 - 7822.0\nTotal Revenue: 28912400384\nTotal Cash: 10.47B\nTotal Debt: 9.03B\nDebt to Equity: 31.748\nTarget Price: 4955.0 - 8604.0\nAnalyst Opinions: 23\nRecommendation: hold\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[TECHNICAL] Close_3d:6862.50,6867.00,6704.00 | RSI:39.88 | MACD:-26.110/46.480/-72.589 | BB:7617.98/7121.77/6625.57 | MA:7121.77/6829.15 | ATR:219.88 | OBV:12,715,882 | WillR:-98.43 | CMF:-0.2665 | Ichi:6935.50/7196.50/7066.00/6728.25 | PSAR:7109.93 | Aroon:56.00/100.00 | VWAP:6306.07 | Force:-29402867.89 | Mass:25.54 | Coppock:-18.04 | UltOsc:29.86\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[QUANT] AvgVol:653,072 | Price:6704.00 | VaR:-0.0460/-0.0881 | CVaR:-0.0680/-0.1054 | Std:0.0301 | AnnVol:0.4778 | DownDev:0.0304 | Skew:-0.0716 | Kurt:2.2326 | Sharpe:0.6411 | MaxDD:-0.4799 | VolRat:3.1851 | P/MA20:0.9413 | P/MA50:0.9817 | VolReg:0.8868 | Mom:-0.0536/0.1664 | MeanRet:0.0013 | W/L:1.15 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:0.000000 | VolSurp:-0.3286 | Omega:1.1268 | Sortino:0.6657 | TailR:1.1754 | ESRat:1.4784 | Hurst:0.2976 | HalfL:42.43 | Mom120:0.1645 | ApEn:0.5463",
        "industry": "Electronic Components",
        "sector": "Technology",
        "similarity_score": 0.47685051,
        "symbol": "KAYNES.NS"
      }
    },
    "llm_analysis": {
      "actionable_summary": {
        "action": "sell",
        "bias": "bearish",
        "headline": "Kaynes tanks 8% on Kotak/JPM red flags",
        "rationale": "Accounting worries + weak cash flows + technical breakdown"
      },
      "between_lines": "Market may fear deeper accounting issues or upcoming guidance cut",
      "confidence_score": 85,
      "connections": {
        "affects_directly": [
          "Kaynes Technology"
        ],
        "affects_indirectly": [
          "small-cap tech",
          "EMS peers"
        ],
        "cause_effect_chain": "Brokerage red flags \u2192 panic selling \u2192 await management response \u2192 possible bounce on clarification",
        "follow_the_money": "short or avoid until clarity"
      },
      "core": {
        "action": "dump",
        "momentum": "reversing",
        "momentum_reasoning": "Price down 8% on heavy volume, RSI 39.88 and falling, MACD negative",
        "sector": "Technology",
        "topic": "accounting concerns",
        "trigger": "brokerage red flags on disclosures and cash flows"
      },
      "cross_stock_impact": [
        {
          "impact_strength": 0.3,
          "impact_type": "negative",
          "reasoning": "Peer EMS stock may face sympathy selling",
          "symbol": "AVALON.NS"
        },
        {
          "impact_strength": 0.2,
          "impact_type": "negative",
          "reasoning": "Small-cap tech peer sentiment hit",
          "symbol": "SPLIL.NS"
        }
      ],
      "data_quality": {
        "article_length_tokens": 120,
        "has_financial_data": false,
        "has_price_data": true,
        "has_sentiment_indicators": true,
        "missing_critical_info": [
          "management response",
          "specific accounting issues",
          "quantified cash-flow numbers"
        ],
        "overall_quality_score": 0.7
      },
      "deals": {
        "counterparty": [],
        "deal_currency": null,
        "deal_size": null,
        "deal_type": null
      },
      "entities": [
        {
          "name": "Kaynes Technology",
          "role": "victim",
          "ticker": "KAYNES.NS",
          "type": "company"
        },
        {
          "name": "Kotak",
          "role": "catalyst",
          "ticker": null,
          "type": "company"
        },
        {
          "name": "JPMorgan",
          "role": "catalyst",
          "ticker": null,
          "type": "company"
        }
      ],
      "financials": {
        "buyback": null,
        "data_source": "null",
        "dividend": null,
        "funding_amount": null,
        "guidance": null,
        "profit": null,
        "revenue": null,
        "valuation": null
      },
      "market_reaction": {
        "expected_impact": "Negative sentiment spill-over to small-cap tech",
        "index_impact": [],
        "price_change": "-8.0",
        "volume_change": null
      },
      "numerical_extractions": {
        "fiscal_period": null,
        "mentioned_prices": [
          "6704.00",
          "6867.0",
          "6688.0",
          "6935.0"
        ],
        "mentioned_targets": [],
        "poll_source": null,
        "profit_change_pct": null,
        "revenue_change_pct": null,
        "volume_growth_yoy_pct": null
      },
      "patterns": {
        "pattern_reasoning": "Single-day 8% drop on volume 1.5\u00d7 average, CMF -0.27 confirms distribution",
        "pattern_type": "dump",
        "similar_past_event": null,
        "stage": "early",
        "strength": "strong"
      },
      "rag_alignment": {
        "rag_company_relevant": "yes",
        "relevance_reasoning": "RAG similarity 0.4769, article explicitly names Kaynes Technology and matches sector",
        "should_prioritize_rag": true,
        "similarity_interpretation": "sectoral_relevance"
      },
      "reasoning_chain": [
        "Brokerages raise accounting red flags",
        "Stock crashes 8%",
        "Volume below average but price gap large",
        "Technicals already weak (RSI 39, MACD negative)",
        "Wait for management response"
      ],
      "red_flags": [
        "Accounting concerns from top brokerages",
        "Weak cash flows flagged",
        "Balance-sheet pressure",
        "No management rebuttal yet"
      ],
      "sentiment": {
        "confidence": 0.9,
        "direction": "negative",
        "drivers": [
          "Kotak flags disclosure gaps",
          "JPMorgan cites weak cash flows",
          "balance-sheet pressure worries"
        ],
        "intensity": 0.8
      },
      "signals": {
        "crowd_behavior": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "panic"
        },
        "key_levels": {
          "source": "article",
          "values": [
            "6688",
            "6935"
          ]
        },
        "price_action_expected": {
          "source": "article",
          "value": "dump"
        },
        "reaction_reasoning": "Volume 359k vs avg 585k (0.61\u00d7) shows dry-up, but article says over 8% drop so likely surge at open then dry-up",
        "volume_expectation": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "surge"
        }
      },
      "smart_money": {
        "big_players": [
          "Kotak",
          "JPMorgan"
        ],
        "evidence": "Volume spike and -8% move",
        "retail_position": "panic",
        "their_likely_motive": "warn clients ahead of further weakness"
      },
      "timing": {
        "catalyst_date": null,
        "expected_duration_days": 5,
        "temporal_anchor": "2025-12-05",
        "urgency": "immediate"
      },
      "trading_angles": [
        {
          "conviction": "medium",
          "idea": "Avoid longs until management clarifies; short below 6688 for 6500",
          "reasoning": "Support at 52-week low 3825 far away; no immediate support",
          "risk": "relief rally on clarification"
        }
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "model_params": {
        "max_completion_tokens": 8192,
        "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-instruct-0905",
        "reasoning_effort": "medium",
        "stream": false,
        "temperature": 0.4,
        "top_p": 0.9
      },
      "timing": {
        "end_time": "2025-12-06T00:25:36.206769",
        "llm_response_seconds": 48.27,
        "rag_query_seconds": 0.679,
        "start_time": "2025-12-06T00:24:47.256838",
        "total_duration_seconds": 48.95
      },
      "tokens": {
        "actual_from_api": {
          "input_tokens": 4664,
          "output_tokens": 1195,
          "total_tokens": 5859
        }
      }
    },
    "rag_match": {
      "company": "Kaynes Technology India Limited",
      "sector": "Technology",
      "similarity_score": 0.47685051,
      "symbol": "KAYNES.NS"
    },
    "timestamp": "2025-12-06T00:25:36.207077"
  },
  "article_id": "0666dc53-4227-4b57-9187-c09b4e302b1a",
  "result_id": "20251206_002536",
  "status": "completed"
}