Analysis Result #3335

{
  "analysis": {
    "input_data": {
      "article": "Title: These Nifty stocks saw the sharpest earnings upgrades and downgrades post Q2 results\n\nPublished: 2025-11-18\n\nContent: Against this backdrop, 12 Nifty constituents recorded upgrades of more than 3% in their FY26 earnings-per-share estimates, while 10 companies saw cuts of over 3% in their projections.",
      "full_prompt_sent_to_llm": "=== NEWS ARTICLE ===\nTitle: These Nifty stocks saw the sharpest earnings upgrades and downgrades post Q2 results\n\nPublished: 2025-11-18\n\nContent: Against this backdrop, 12 Nifty constituents recorded upgrades of more than 3% in their FY26 earnings-per-share estimates, while 10 companies saw cuts of over 3% in their projections.\n\n=== TOP MATCHING STOCK FROM RAG ===\n\nSymbol: DEEPAKNTR.NS\nCompany: Deepak Nitrite Limited\nSector: Basic Materials\nIndustry: Chemicals\nSimilarity Score: 0.3332 (33.32%)\n\nMarket Data:\n\u2022 Current Price: 1765.80\n\u2022 Previous Close: 1770.6\n\u2022 Day Low: 1763.2\n\u2022 Day High: 1780.0\n\u2022 52-Week Low: 1733.9\n\u2022 52-Week High: 2885.1\n\u2022 Volume: 84848\n\u2022 Avg Volume: 181873\n\nAdvanced Technical Indicators (21 total):\nClose_3d:1758.70,1770.60,1765.80 | RSI:41.58 | MACD:-13.189/-8.980/-4.209 | BB:1881.96/1804.72/1727.47 | MA:1804.72/1800.44 | ATR:30.48 | OBV:658,574 | WillR:-86.44 | CMF:-0.0129 | Ichi:1771.55/1827.75/1799.65/1819.15 | PSAR:1790.53 | Aroon:24.00/76.00 | VWAP:1917.32 | Force:-9199.96 | Mass:24.34 | Coppock:-6.12 | UltOsc:40.63\n\nQuantitative Risk \u0026 Performance Metrics (35 total):\nAvgVol:249,674 | Price:1765.80 | VaR:-0.0298/-0.0484 | CVaR:-0.0474/-0.0848 | Std:0.0199 | AnnVol:0.3162 | DownDev:0.0222 | Skew:-1.3534 | Kurt:12.7052 | Sharpe:-1.2774 | MaxDD:-0.3869 | VolRat:2.1081 | P/MA20:0.9784 | P/MA50:0.9808 | VolReg:0.8196 | Mom:-0.0251/-0.0799 | MeanRet:-0.0015 | W/L:0.99 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:25.923321 | VolSurp:-0.4163 | Omega:0.7902 | Sortino:-1.1054 | TailR:0.9123 | ESRat:1.5890 | Hurst:0.1929 | HalfL:44.61 | Mom120:-0.1059 | ApEn:0.3598\n\n=== ANALYZE THE ARTICLE (use RAG context if relevant) ===",
      "rag_context": {
        "company": "Deepak Nitrite Limited",
        "country": "India",
        "description_preview": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: DEEPAKNTR.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Deepak Nitrite Limited\n[SECTOR]: Basic Materials\n[INDUSTRY]: Chemicals\n[COUNTRY]: India\n-------------------------------------------------------------------...",
        "full_description": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: DEEPAKNTR.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Deepak Nitrite Limited\n[SECTOR]: Basic Materials\n[INDUSTRY]: Chemicals\n[COUNTRY]: India\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\ncountry - India\nindustry - Chemicals\nsector - Basic Materials\nlongBusinessSummary - Deepak Nitrite Limited manufactures, trades and sells chemical intermediates in India and internationally. It operates through Advanced Intermediates and Phenolics segments. The company offers sodium nitrite, sodium nitrate, nitro toluidines, fuel additives, nitrosyl sulphuric acid, xylidines, oximes, cumidines, speciality agrochemicals, optical brightening agent, DASDA, and benzotrifluoride for colourants, dyes, rubber, paper, agrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, personal care, water treatment, glass, explosives, and textiles industries. It provides cumene, phenol, acetone, isopropyl alcohol, and alpha methyl styrene for various applications including laminate and plywood, automotive, construction, pharmaceuticals, adhesives, sanitisers, rubber, chemicals, paints, etc. In addition, the company offers 2 MePPDA, 2,3-xylidine, 2,4-xylidine, 2,6-xylidine, 2-ethylhexyl nitrate, 3-NOX, 4-NOX; 2B, 4BBT, ABP, ABP X, and BMK deepwhite powders; 2BL, ABP, AS, BA, BHT HC, DSP, MST, SPF Z, SI, UBR, UP, and XBE deepwhite liquids; 4BB conc, 4BB conc T, DMA-X, DMA-X conc, and UFD slurry deepwhite products; IPA, MAHCL, mHBTF, MMDPA, MNT(3- nitrotoluene), MT(m-toluidine), ONT(2- nitrotoluene), OT(o-toluidine), PNT(4- nitrotoluene), and PT(p-toluidine); B+ (brown colour), FX (yellow colour), and GLP (yellow colour) protecto products; nitric acid, ortho and para cumidines; and TFMAP, as well as project engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, management, and consultancy services. The company was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Vadodara, India.\nfullTimeEmployees - 1757\npreviousClose - 1770.6\nopen - 1775.0\ndayLow - 1763.2\ndayHigh - 1780.0\nregularMarketDayLow - 1763.2\nregularMarketDayHigh - 1780.0\ndividendRate - 7.5\ndividendYield - 0.42\nexDividendDate - 1754265600\npayoutRatio - 0.1685\nfiveYearAvgDividendYield - 0.73\nbeta - 0.138\ntrailingPE - 39.734474\nvolume - 84848\nregularMarketVolume - 84848\naverageVolume - 181873\naverageVolume10days - 94906\naverageDailyVolume10Day - 94906\nmarketCap - 240849649664\nfiftyTwoWeekLow - 1733.9\nfiftyTwoWeekHigh - 2885.1\npriceToSalesTrailing12Months - 3.0087514\nfiftyDayAverage - 1802.216\ntwoHundredDayAverage - 1957.9423\ntrailingAnnualDividendRate - 7.5\ntrailingAnnualDividendYield - 0.0042358525\ncurrency - INR\nenterpriseValue - 245402517504\nforwardPE - 26.751955\nprofitMargins - 0.07582\nfloatShares - 67976928\nsharesOutstanding - 136393041\nheldPercentInsiders - 0.49776\nheldPercentInstitutions - 0.26181\nbookValue - 395.084\npriceToBook - 4.469429\nearningsQuarterlyGrowth - -0.446\nnetIncomeToCommon - 6069000192\ntrailingEps - 44.44\nenterpriseToRevenue - 3.066\nenterpriseToEbitda - 25.102\nlastDividendValue - 7.5\nquoteType - EQUITY\ncurrentPrice - 1765.8\ntargetHighPrice - 2290.0\ntargetLowPrice - 1540.0\ntargetMeanPrice - 1946.9412\ntargetMedianPrice - 1950.0\nrecommendationMean - 2.64706\nrecommendationKey - hold\nnumberOfAnalystOpinions - 17\ntotalCash - 9125000192\ntotalCashPerShare - 66.902\nebitda - 9776350208\ntotalDebt - 12670100480\ntotalRevenue - 80049700864\ndebtToEquity - 23.356\nrevenuePerShare - 586.939\nreturnOnEquity - 0.11849\ngrossProfits - 18181400576\nearningsGrowth - -0.446\nrevenueGrowth - -0.128\ngrossMargins - 0.22713\nebitdaMargins - 0.12213001\noperatingMargins - 0.07318\nregularMarketPrice - 1765.8\nlongName - Deepak Nitrite Limited\nshortName - DEEPAK NITRITE LTD\nepsTrailingTwelveMonths - 44.44\nepsCurrentYear - 50.96503\nexchange - NSI\ntrailingPegRatio - None\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[BUSINESS SUMMARY]\nDeepak Nitrite Limited manufactures, trades and sells chemical intermediates in India and internationally. It operates through Advanced Intermediates and Phenolics segments. The company offers sodium nitrite, sodium nitrate, nitro toluidines, fuel additives, nitrosyl sulphuric acid, xylidines, oximes, cumidines, speciality agrochemicals, optical brightening agent, DASDA, and benzotrifluoride for colourants, dyes, rubber, paper, agrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, personal care, water treatment, glass, explosives, and textiles industries. It provides cumene, phenol, acetone, isopropyl alcohol, and alpha methyl styrene for various applications including laminate and plywood, automotive, construction, pharmaceuticals, adhesives, sanitisers, rubber, chemicals, paints, etc. In addition, the company offers 2 MePPDA, 2,3-xylidine, 2,4-xylidine, 2,6-xylidine, 2-ethylhexyl nitrate, 3-NOX, 4-NOX; 2B, 4BBT, ABP, ABP X, and BMK deepwhite powders; 2BL, ABP, AS, BA, BHT HC, DSP, MST, SPF Z, SI, UBR, UP, and XBE deepwhite liquids; 4BB conc, 4BB conc T, DMA-X, DMA-X conc, and UFD slurry deepwhite products; IPA, MAHCL, mHBTF, MMDPA, MNT(3- nitrotoluene), MT(m-toluidine), ONT(2- nitrotoluene), OT(o-toluidine), PNT(4- nitrotoluene), and PT(p-toluidine); B+ (brown colour), FX (yellow colour), and GLP (yellow colour) protecto products; nitric acid, ortho and para cumidines; and TFMAP, as well as project engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, management, and consultancy services. The company was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Vadodara, India.\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[IMPORTANT METRICS]\nCompany: Deepak Nitrite Limited\nSector: Basic Materials\nIndustry: Chemicals\nCountry: India\nMarket Cap: 240.85B\nCurrent Price: 1765.8\nP/E Ratio: 39.734474\nP/B Ratio: 4.469429\nDividend Yield: 0.4200%\nROE: 0.1185\nProfit Margin: 0.0758\nBeta: 0.1380\nVolume: 84,848\nAvg Volume: 181,873\nDay Range: 1763.2 - 1780.0\n52Wk Range: 1733.9 - 2885.1\nTotal Revenue: 80049700864\nTotal Cash: 9.13B\nTotal Debt: 12.67B\nDebt to Equity: 23.356\nTarget Price: 1540.0 - 2290.0\nAnalyst Opinions: 17\nRecommendation: hold\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[TECHNICAL] Close_3d:1758.70,1770.60,1765.80 | RSI:41.58 | MACD:-13.189/-8.980/-4.209 | BB:1881.96/1804.72/1727.47 | MA:1804.72/1800.44 | ATR:30.48 | OBV:658,574 | WillR:-86.44 | CMF:-0.0129 | Ichi:1771.55/1827.75/1799.65/1819.15 | PSAR:1790.53 | Aroon:24.00/76.00 | VWAP:1917.32 | Force:-9199.96 | Mass:24.34 | Coppock:-6.12 | UltOsc:40.63\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[QUANT] AvgVol:249,674 | Price:1765.80 | VaR:-0.0298/-0.0484 | CVaR:-0.0474/-0.0848 | Std:0.0199 | AnnVol:0.3162 | DownDev:0.0222 | Skew:-1.3534 | Kurt:12.7052 | Sharpe:-1.2774 | MaxDD:-0.3869 | VolRat:2.1081 | P/MA20:0.9784 | P/MA50:0.9808 | VolReg:0.8196 | Mom:-0.0251/-0.0799 | MeanRet:-0.0015 | W/L:0.99 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:25.923321 | VolSurp:-0.4163 | Omega:0.7902 | Sortino:-1.1054 | TailR:0.9123 | ESRat:1.5890 | Hurst:0.1929 | HalfL:44.61 | Mom120:-0.1059 | ApEn:0.3598",
        "industry": "Chemicals",
        "sector": "Basic Materials",
        "similarity_score": 0.333163261,
        "symbol": "DEEPAKNTR.NS"
      }
    },
    "llm_analysis": {
      "actionable_summary": {
        "action": "watch",
        "bias": "neutral",
        "headline": "Nifty saw 12 upgrades \u0026 10 downgrades \u003e3 % post-Q2",
        "rationale": "Await disclosure of specific stocks to trade dispersion"
      },
      "between_lines": "Market awaiting stock-specific details to separate winners from laggards",
      "confidence_score": 55,
      "connections": {
        "affects_directly": [
          "Nifty 50 index constituents"
        ],
        "affects_indirectly": [
          "sectoral ETFs",
          "active large-cap funds"
        ],
        "cause_effect_chain": "Q2 results \u2192 analyst model refresh \u2192 consensus EPS change \u2192 potential price re-rating",
        "follow_the_money": "watch stocks with \u003e5 % upgrade for potential outperformance next month"
      },
      "core": {
        "action": "earnings_beat/miss",
        "momentum": "neutral",
        "momentum_reasoning": "Equal count of \u003e3 % upgrades (12) and \u003e3 % downgrades (10) implies balanced revision breadth with no aggregate directional bias",
        "sector": "Macro",
        "topic": "earnings-revision breadth",
        "trigger": "Q2 results-driven FY26 EPS estimate changes"
      },
      "cross_stock_impact": [],
      "data_quality": {
        "article_length_tokens": 45,
        "has_financial_data": false,
        "has_price_data": false,
        "has_sentiment_indicators": true,
        "missing_critical_info": [
          "company names",
          "EPS change magnitude",
          "price reaction"
        ],
        "overall_quality_score": 0.4
      },
      "deals": {
        "counterparty": [],
        "deal_currency": null,
        "deal_size": null,
        "deal_type": null
      },
      "entities": [
        {
          "name": "Nifty 50",
          "role": "catalyst",
          "ticker": "NSE:NIFTY",
          "type": "index"
        }
      ],
      "financials": {
        "buyback": null,
        "data_source": "null",
        "dividend": null,
        "funding_amount": null,
        "guidance": null,
        "profit": null,
        "revenue": null,
        "valuation": null
      },
      "market_reaction": {
        "expected_impact": "Inference: Mixed sectoral impact, index level likely flat",
        "index_impact": [
          "Nifty 50"
        ],
        "price_change": null,
        "volume_change": null
      },
      "numerical_extractions": {
        "fiscal_period": "FY26",
        "mentioned_prices": [],
        "mentioned_targets": [],
        "poll_source": null,
        "profit_change_pct": null,
        "revenue_change_pct": null,
        "volume_growth_yoy_pct": null
      },
      "patterns": {
        "pattern_reasoning": "Article is a summary table of estimate changes, not a price pattern; no breakout/accumulation criteria met",
        "pattern_type": null,
        "similar_past_event": null,
        "stage": "completed",
        "strength": "weak"
      },
      "rag_alignment": {
        "rag_company_relevant": "partial",
        "relevance_reasoning": "33 % similarity is below meaningful threshold; article is a broad Nifty-level earnings-revision scan, not company-specific",
        "should_prioritize_rag": false,
        "similarity_interpretation": "weak_connection"
      },
      "reasoning_chain": [
        "Article lists counts of upgrades/downgrades",
        "No individual stocks or numbers given",
        "Deepak Nitrite RAG match weak",
        "Neutral sentiment on aggregate"
      ],
      "red_flags": [
        "No company names or magnitude of EPS change disclosed",
        "3 % cut-off arbitrary, may hide larger moves",
        "No link to price reaction post revisions"
      ],
      "sentiment": {
        "confidence": 0.8,
        "direction": "neutral",
        "drivers": [
          "balanced upgrade/downgrade tally",
          "no net tilt disclosed",
          "data cut-off at 3 % threshold"
        ],
        "intensity": 0.5
      },
      "signals": {
        "crowd_behavior": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "confusion"
        },
        "key_levels": {
          "source": "article",
          "values": []
        },
        "price_action_expected": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "range"
        },
        "reaction_reasoning": "Absence of stock names prevents FOMO; dispersion trade likely within Nifty",
        "volume_expectation": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "normal"
        }
      },
      "smart_money": {
        "big_players": [
          "domestic institutions",
          "foreign portfolio investors"
        ],
        "evidence": "No stock-specific flow data, only estimate revisions",
        "retail_position": "neutral",
        "their_likely_motive": "re-balance portfolios to reflect revised FY26 EPS"
      },
      "timing": {
        "catalyst_date": null,
        "expected_duration_days": 5,
        "temporal_anchor": "2025-11-18",
        "urgency": "this_week"
      },
      "trading_angles": [
        {
          "conviction": "low",
          "idea": "Buy straddle on Nifty if implied vol cheap ahead of further estimate cuts/upgrades",
          "reasoning": "Revision dispersion can move index even if net tally neutral",
          "risk": "Time decay if revisions slow"
        }
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "model_params": {
        "max_completion_tokens": 8192,
        "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-instruct-0905",
        "reasoning_effort": "medium",
        "stream": false,
        "temperature": 0.4,
        "top_p": 0.9
      },
      "timing": {
        "end_time": "2025-11-18T21:39:51.692700",
        "llm_response_seconds": 3.699,
        "rag_query_seconds": 0.737,
        "start_time": "2025-11-18T21:39:47.245216",
        "total_duration_seconds": 4.447
      },
      "tokens": {
        "actual_from_api": {
          "input_tokens": 4657,
          "output_tokens": 1047,
          "total_tokens": 5704
        }
      }
    },
    "rag_match": {
      "company": "Deepak Nitrite Limited",
      "sector": "Basic Materials",
      "similarity_score": 0.333163261,
      "symbol": "DEEPAKNTR.NS"
    },
    "timestamp": "2025-11-18T21:39:51.693106"
  },
  "article_id": "6e3f7571-cf6a-4775-a65b-ae9be57c2d92",
  "result_id": "20251118_213951",
  "status": "completed"
}