Analysis Result #1356

{
  "analysis": {
    "input_data": {
      "article": "Title: NSE Q2 Results: Net profit falls 33% to  \u20b92,098 crore on one-time provision, revenue declines 18% YoY\n\nPublished: 2025-11-05\n\nContent: NSE Q2 Results: NSE said during the September quarter, it recognised a provision of  \u20b91,297 crore, including interest, towards the settlement applications that it had filed with SEBI with respect to Colocation and Dark Fibre matters.",
      "full_prompt_sent_to_llm": "=== NEWS ARTICLE ===\nTitle: NSE Q2 Results: Net profit falls 33% to  \u20b92,098 crore on one-time provision, revenue declines 18% YoY\n\nPublished: 2025-11-05\n\nContent: NSE Q2 Results: NSE said during the September quarter, it recognised a provision of  \u20b91,297 crore, including interest, towards the settlement applications that it had filed with SEBI with respect to Colocation and Dark Fibre matters.\n\n=== TOP MATCHING STOCK FROM RAG ===\n\nSymbol: INDIANB.NS\nCompany: Indian Bank\nSector: Financial Services\nIndustry: Banks - Regional\nSimilarity Score: 0.4927 (49.27%)\n\nMarket Data:\n\u2022 Current Price: 826.20\n\u2022 Previous Close: 813.3\n\u2022 Day Low: 811.65\n\u2022 Day High: 838.6\n\u2022 52-Week Low: 473.9\n\u2022 52-Week High: 838.6\n\u2022 Volume: 2788837\n\u2022 Avg Volume: 1674548\n\nAdvanced Technical Indicators (21 total):\nClose_3d:813.80,813.30,826.20 | RSI:78.18 | MACD:29.588/25.701/3.886 | BB:830.11/762.88/695.66 | MA:762.88/711.69 | ATR:20.07 | OBV:46,801,153 | WillR:-12.84 | CMF:0.0892 | Ichi:797.55/765.38/781.46/734.80 | PSAR:760.36 | Aroon:100.00/20.00 | VWAP:646.00 | Force:21323181.75 | Mass:27.20 | Coppock:21.14 | UltOsc:54.92\n\nQuantitative Risk \u0026 Performance Metrics (35 total):\nAvgVol:1,879,701 | Price:826.20 | VaR:-0.0272/-0.0367 | CVaR:-0.0335/-0.0402 | Std:0.0201 | AnnVol:0.3183 | DownDev:0.0157 | Skew:1.0384 | Kurt:2.9575 | Sharpe:1.7895 | MaxDD:-0.2124 | VolRat:2.1221 | P/MA20:1.0830 | P/MA50:1.1609 | VolReg:1.1710 | Mom:0.1727/0.3232 | MeanRet:0.0023 | W/L:0.99 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:2.861026 | VolSurp:0.2283 | Omega:1.3863 | Sortino:2.3445 | TailR:1.4429 | ESRat:1.2322 | Hurst:0.1802 | HalfL:2030.90 | Mom120:0.5274 | ApEn:0.4365\n\n=== ANALYZE THE ARTICLE (use RAG context if relevant) ===",
      "rag_context": {
        "company": "Indian Bank",
        "country": "India",
        "description_preview": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: INDIANB.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Indian Bank\n[SECTOR]: Financial Services\n[INDUSTRY]: Banks - Regional\n[COUNTRY]: India\n----------------------------------------------------------------------...",
        "full_description": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: INDIANB.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Indian Bank\n[SECTOR]: Financial Services\n[INDUSTRY]: Banks - Regional\n[COUNTRY]: India\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\ncountry - India\nindustry - Banks - Regional\nsector - Financial Services\nlongBusinessSummary - Indian Bank provides various banking products and services. It offers deposit products, including savings bank and current accounts, term deposits, and non resident Indian (NRI) accounts. The company also provides agriculture, MSME, corporate, online, home, mortgage, vehicle, personal, educational, and jewel loans; supply chain finance; 59 minutes loans; loan/OD against deposits, NSC/KVP/ relief bonds of RBI/LIC policies; and other retail/personal loans. In addition, it offers digital products, including IndOASIS, internet and SMS banking, debit and credit cards, national common mobility cards, prepaid card, mutual funds, IPO, demat, and trading services; Point of sale systems; online collection products; and other products, services, and schemes. The company operates through multiple branches in India and overseas; as well as ATMs and BNAs. Indian Bank was incorporated in 1907 and is based in Chennai, India.\nfullTimeEmployees - 40071\npreviousClose - 813.3\nopen - 813.3\ndayLow - 811.65\ndayHigh - 838.6\nregularMarketDayLow - 811.65\nregularMarketDayHigh - 838.6\ndividendRate - 16.25\ndividendYield - 2.0\nexDividendDate - 1749513600\npayoutRatio - 0.19409999\nfiveYearAvgDividendYield - 2.18\nbeta - 0.452\ntrailingPE - 9.872147\nforwardPE - 10.246807\nvolume - 2788837\nregularMarketVolume - 2788837\naverageVolume - 1674548\naverageVolume10days - 1980145\naverageDailyVolume10Day - 1980145\nmarketCap - 1112861704192\nfiftyTwoWeekLow - 473.9\nfiftyTwoWeekHigh - 838.6\npriceToSalesTrailing12Months - 3.3666735\nfiftyDayAverage - 709.485\ntwoHundredDayAverage - 609.5155\ntrailingAnnualDividendRate - 16.25\ntrailingAnnualDividendYield - 0.019980328\ncurrency - INR\nenterpriseValue - 1238763962368\nprofitMargins - 0.34112\nfloatShares - 352405145\nsharesOutstanding - 1346963981\nheldPercentInsiders - 0.76031\nheldPercentInstitutions - 0.16941999\nbookValue - 570.816\npriceToBook - 1.4474016\nearningsQuarterlyGrowth - 0.11\nnetIncomeToCommon - 112757096448\ntrailingEps - 83.69\nforwardEps - 80.63\nenterpriseToRevenue - 3.748\nlastDividendValue - 16.25\nquoteType - EQUITY\ncurrentPrice - 826.2\ntargetHighPrice - 930.0\ntargetLowPrice - 619.0\ntargetMeanPrice - 837.0\ntargetMedianPrice - 882.5\nrecommendationMean - 1.5\nrecommendationKey - strong_buy\nnumberOfAnalystOpinions - 12\ntotalCash - 279874207744\ntotalCashPerShare - 207.782\ntotalDebt - 422819594240\ntotalRevenue - 330552311808\nrevenuePerShare - 245.388\nreturnOnAssets - 0.01296\nreturnOnEquity - 0.15754\ngrossProfits - 330552311808\nearningsGrowth - 0.11\nrevenueGrowth - 0.1\ngrossMargins - 0.0\nebitdaMargins - 0.0\noperatingMargins - 0.48546\nexchange - NSI\nregularMarketPrice - 826.2\nshortName - INDIAN BANK\nlongName - Indian Bank\nepsTrailingTwelveMonths - 83.69\nepsCurrentYear - 88.808\ntrailingPegRatio - None\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[BUSINESS SUMMARY]\nIndian Bank provides various banking products and services. It offers deposit products, including savings bank and current accounts, term deposits, and non resident Indian (NRI) accounts. The company also provides agriculture, MSME, corporate, online, home, mortgage, vehicle, personal, educational, and jewel loans; supply chain finance; 59 minutes loans; loan/OD against deposits, NSC/KVP/ relief bonds of RBI/LIC policies; and other retail/personal loans. In addition, it offers digital products, including IndOASIS, internet and SMS banking, debit and credit cards, national common mobility cards, prepaid card, mutual funds, IPO, demat, and trading services; Point of sale systems; online collection products; and other products, services, and schemes. The company operates through multiple branches in India and overseas; as well as ATMs and BNAs. Indian Bank was incorporated in 1907 and is based in Chennai, India.\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[IMPORTANT METRICS]\nCompany: Indian Bank\nSector: Financial Services\nIndustry: Banks - Regional\nCountry: India\nMarket Cap: 1112.86B\nCurrent Price: 826.2\nP/E Ratio: 9.872147\nP/B Ratio: 1.4474016\nDividend Yield: 2.0000%\nROA: 0.0130\nROE: 0.1575\nProfit Margin: 0.3411\nBeta: 0.4520\nVolume: 2,788,837\nAvg Volume: 1,674,548\nDay Range: 811.65 - 838.6\n52Wk Range: 473.9 - 838.6\nTotal Revenue: 330552311808\nTotal Cash: 279.87B\nTotal Debt: 422.82B\nTarget Price: 619.0 - 930.0\nAnalyst Opinions: 12\nRecommendation: strong_buy\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[TECHNICAL] Close_3d:813.80,813.30,826.20 | RSI:78.18 | MACD:29.588/25.701/3.886 | BB:830.11/762.88/695.66 | MA:762.88/711.69 | ATR:20.07 | OBV:46,801,153 | WillR:-12.84 | CMF:0.0892 | Ichi:797.55/765.38/781.46/734.80 | PSAR:760.36 | Aroon:100.00/20.00 | VWAP:646.00 | Force:21323181.75 | Mass:27.20 | Coppock:21.14 | UltOsc:54.92\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[QUANT] AvgVol:1,879,701 | Price:826.20 | VaR:-0.0272/-0.0367 | CVaR:-0.0335/-0.0402 | Std:0.0201 | AnnVol:0.3183 | DownDev:0.0157 | Skew:1.0384 | Kurt:2.9575 | Sharpe:1.7895 | MaxDD:-0.2124 | VolRat:2.1221 | P/MA20:1.0830 | P/MA50:1.1609 | VolReg:1.1710 | Mom:0.1727/0.3232 | MeanRet:0.0023 | W/L:0.99 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:2.861026 | VolSurp:0.2283 | Omega:1.3863 | Sortino:2.3445 | TailR:1.4429 | ESRat:1.2322 | Hurst:0.1802 | HalfL:2030.90 | Mom120:0.5274 | ApEn:0.4365",
        "industry": "Banks - Regional",
        "sector": "Financial Services",
        "similarity_score": 0.492743582,
        "symbol": "INDIANB.NS"
      }
    },
    "llm_analysis": {
      "actionable_summary": {
        "action": "sell",
        "bias": "bearish",
        "headline": "NSE Q2 profit drops 33% on regulatory provision",
        "rationale": "Large provision and revenue decline indicate fundamental weakness"
      },
      "between_lines": "Market may price in further regulatory risks beyond this provision",
      "confidence_score": 85,
      "connections": {
        "affects_directly": [
          "NSE"
        ],
        "affects_indirectly": [
          "NSE shareholders",
          "Indian capital markets"
        ],
        "cause_effect_chain": "SEBI settlement \u2192 \u20b91,297cr provision \u2192 33% profit drop \u2192 negative sentiment",
        "follow_the_money": "Regulatory compliance costs"
      },
      "core": {
        "action": "earnings_miss",
        "momentum": "fading",
        "momentum_reasoning": "33% profit drop and 18% revenue decline indicate weakening momentum",
        "sector": "Financial Services",
        "topic": "Q2 earnings",
        "trigger": "One-time provision of \u20b91,297 crore for SEBI settlement"
      },
      "cross_stock_impact": [],
      "data_quality": {
        "article_length_tokens": 150,
        "has_financial_data": true,
        "has_price_data": false,
        "has_sentiment_indicators": true,
        "missing_critical_info": [
          "revenue number",
          "detailed breakdown",
          "management commentary"
        ],
        "overall_quality_score": 0.7
      },
      "deals": {
        "counterparty": [],
        "deal_currency": null,
        "deal_size": null,
        "deal_type": null
      },
      "entities": [
        {
          "name": "NSE",
          "role": "victim",
          "ticker": null,
          "type": "company"
        },
        {
          "name": "SEBI",
          "role": "regulator",
          "ticker": null,
          "type": "government"
        }
      ],
      "financials": {
        "buyback": null,
        "data_source": "article",
        "dividend": null,
        "funding_amount": null,
        "guidance": null,
        "profit": 2098,
        "revenue": null,
        "valuation": null
      },
      "market_reaction": {
        "expected_impact": "Negative impact on NSE valuation",
        "index_impact": [],
        "price_change": null,
        "volume_change": null
      },
      "numerical_extractions": {
        "fiscal_period": "Q2",
        "mentioned_prices": [],
        "mentioned_targets": [],
        "poll_source": null,
        "profit_change_pct": -33,
        "revenue_change_pct": -18,
        "volume_growth_yoy_pct": null
      },
      "patterns": {
        "pattern_reasoning": "Earnings miss due to regulatory provision, not technical pattern",
        "pattern_type": null,
        "similar_past_event": null,
        "stage": "completed",
        "strength": "weak"
      },
      "rag_alignment": {
        "rag_company_relevant": "no",
        "relevance_reasoning": "Article is about NSE (exchange) Q2 results, RAG match is Indian Bank (0.49 score) - different entities",
        "should_prioritize_rag": false,
        "similarity_interpretation": "weak_connection"
      },
      "reasoning_chain": [
        "NSE reported Q2 results",
        "Profit fell 33% to \u20b92,098 crore",
        "Revenue declined 18% YoY",
        "\u20b91,297 crore provision for SEBI settlement",
        "Negative sentiment expected"
      ],
      "red_flags": [
        "Large one-time provision indicates regulatory troubles",
        "Revenue decline shows business pressure",
        "No information on forward guidance"
      ],
      "sentiment": {
        "confidence": 0.9,
        "direction": "negative",
        "drivers": [
          "33% profit decline",
          "18% revenue drop",
          "large one-time provision",
          "regulatory issues"
        ],
        "intensity": 0.8
      },
      "signals": {
        "crowd_behavior": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "panic"
        },
        "key_levels": {
          "source": "article",
          "values": []
        },
        "price_action_expected": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "dump"
        },
        "reaction_reasoning": "Large provision and profit decline likely trigger selling pressure",
        "volume_expectation": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "surge"
        }
      },
      "smart_money": {
        "big_players": [
          "institutional investors"
        ],
        "evidence": "Negative sentiment on regulatory settlement costs",
        "retail_position": "following",
        "their_likely_motive": "Reduce exposure on regulatory overhang"
      },
      "timing": {
        "catalyst_date": "2025-11-05",
        "expected_duration_days": 30,
        "temporal_anchor": "2025-11-05",
        "urgency": "immediate"
      },
      "trading_angles": [
        {
          "conviction": "high",
          "idea": "Avoid NSE until regulatory clarity",
          "reasoning": "One-time provision indicates ongoing regulatory issues",
          "risk": "Further regulatory penalties possible"
        }
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "model_params": {
        "max_completion_tokens": 8192,
        "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-instruct-0905",
        "reasoning_effort": "medium",
        "stream": false,
        "temperature": 0.4,
        "top_p": 0.9
      },
      "timing": {
        "end_time": "2025-11-05T04:39:37.359952",
        "llm_response_seconds": 3.068,
        "rag_query_seconds": 1.063,
        "start_time": "2025-11-05T04:39:33.228973",
        "total_duration_seconds": 4.131
      },
      "tokens": {
        "actual_from_api": {
          "input_tokens": 4665,
          "output_tokens": 1007,
          "total_tokens": 5672
        }
      }
    },
    "rag_match": {
      "company": "Indian Bank",
      "sector": "Financial Services",
      "similarity_score": 0.492743582,
      "symbol": "INDIANB.NS"
    },
    "timestamp": "2025-11-05T04:39:37.360051"
  },
  "article_id": "0f1fd3c7-c917-4508-9de2-1c2d36ba6b48",
  "result_id": "20251105_043937",
  "status": "completed"
}