Analysis Result #10745

{
  "analysis": {
    "input_data": {
      "article": "Title: Adani Energy Q3 Results: Net profit drops 8% to  \u20b9574 crore; revenue up 15% YoY \u2014 Details here\n\nPublished: 2026-01-22\n\nContent: Adani Energy Q3 Results: Net profit drops 8% to  \u20b9574 crore; revenue up 15% YoY \u2014 Details here",
      "full_prompt_sent_to_llm": "=== NEWS ARTICLE ===\nTitle: Adani Energy Q3 Results: Net profit drops 8% to  \u20b9574 crore; revenue up 15% YoY \u2014 Details here\n\nPublished: 2026-01-22\n\nContent: Adani Energy Q3 Results: Net profit drops 8% to  \u20b9574 crore; revenue up 15% YoY \u2014 Details here\n\n=== TOP MATCHING STOCK FROM RAG ===\n\nSymbol: ADANIGREEN.NS\nCompany: Adani Green Energy Limited\nSector: Utilities\nIndustry: Utilities - Renewable\nSimilarity Score: 0.6150 (61.50%)\n\nMarket Data:\n\u2022 Current Price: 1044.70\n\u2022 Previous Close: 1040.0\n\u2022 Day Low: 1040.9\n\u2022 Day High: 1061.9\n\u2022 52-Week Low: 758.0\n\u2022 52-Week High: 1733.95\n\u2022 Volume: 1888406\n\u2022 Avg Volume: 2937362\n\nAdvanced Technical Indicators (21 total):\nClose_3d:1034.10,1040.00,1044.70 | RSI:52.41 | MACD:8.500/13.697/-5.197 | BB:1086.47/1052.38/1018.28 | MA:1052.38/1000.06 | ATR:27.63 | OBV:75,765,512 | WillR:-68.45 | CMF:-0.4069 | Ichi:1048.15/1075.93/1062.04/1040.53 | PSAR:1063.36 | Aroon:16.00/8.00 | VWAP:1012.35 | Force:23129380.90 | Mass:25.61 | Coppock:-3.39 | UltOsc:39.16\n\nQuantitative Risk \u0026 Performance Metrics (35 total):\nAvgVol:3,842,109 | Price:1044.70 | VaR:-0.0426/-0.0759 | CVaR:-0.0668/-0.1166 | Std:0.0342 | AnnVol:0.5423 | DownDev:0.0305 | Skew:1.0368 | Kurt:10.9556 | Sharpe:-0.6743 | MaxDD:-0.5535 | VolRat:3.6151 | P/MA20:0.9927 | P/MA50:1.0446 | VolReg:0.7031 | Mom:-0.0933/0.0104 | MeanRet:-0.0014 | W/L:0.84 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:0.000000 | VolSurp:-0.4089 | Omega:0.8817 | Sortino:-0.7246 | TailR:1.1197 | ESRat:1.5710 | Hurst:0.1955 | HalfL:14.35 | Mom120:0.1535 | ApEn:0.4158\n\n=== ANALYZE THE ARTICLE (use RAG context if relevant) ===",
      "rag_context": {
        "company": "Adani Green Energy Limited",
        "country": "India",
        "description_preview": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: ADANIGREEN.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Adani Green Energy Limited\n[SECTOR]: Utilities\n[INDUSTRY]: Utilities - Renewable\n[COUNTRY]: India\n--------------------------------------------------------...",
        "full_description": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: ADANIGREEN.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Adani Green Energy Limited\n[SECTOR]: Utilities\n[INDUSTRY]: Utilities - Renewable\n[COUNTRY]: India\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\ncountry - India\nindustry - Utilities - Renewable\nsector - Utilities\nlongBusinessSummary - Adani Green Energy Limited generates and supplies renewable energy to central and state government entities and government backed corporations in India. The company develops, builds, owns, operates, and maintains power plants through renewable sources, such as solar, wind, and hybrid. It operates solar power plants with an operational capacity of 10,103 megawatts (MW); wind power plants with an operational capacity of 2,000 MW; and hybrid power plants with an operational capacity of 2,140 MW. Adani Green Energy Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India.\nfullTimeEmployees - 1247\npreviousClose - 1040.0\nopen - 1049.3\ndayLow - 1040.9\ndayHigh - 1061.9\nregularMarketDayLow - 1040.9\nregularMarketDayHigh - 1061.9\npayoutRatio - 0.0\nbeta - 0.948\ntrailingPE - 104.67936\nvolume - 1888406\nregularMarketVolume - 1888406\naverageVolume - 2937362\naverageVolume10days - 1454693\naverageDailyVolume10Day - 1454693\nmarketCap - 1720804835328\nfiftyTwoWeekLow - 758.0\nfiftyTwoWeekHigh - 1733.95\npriceToSalesTrailing12Months - 13.925749\nfiftyDayAverage - 1000.236\ntwoHundredDayAverage - 966.41376\ntrailingAnnualDividendRate - 0.0\ntrailingAnnualDividendYield - 0.0\ncurrency - INR\nenterpriseValue - 2506283810816\nforwardPE - 39.519382\nprofitMargins - 0.13846\nfloatShares - 315745194\nsharesOutstanding - 1647176155\nheldPercentInsiders - 0.82649004\nheldPercentInstitutions - 0.11472\nbookValue - 67.631\npriceToBook - 15.447059\nearningsQuarterlyGrowth - 0.599\nnetIncomeToCommon - 15939999744\ntrailingEps - 9.98\nenterpriseToRevenue - 20.282\nenterpriseToEbitda - 26.113\nquoteType - EQUITY\ncurrentPrice - 1044.7\ntargetHighPrice - 1522.0\ntargetLowPrice - 792.0\ntargetMeanPrice - 1240.4286\ntargetMedianPrice - 1230.0\nrecommendationMean - 1.42857\nrecommendationKey - strong_buy\nnumberOfAnalystOpinions - 7\ntotalCash - 45869998080\ntotalCashPerShare - 28.958\nebitda - 95980003328\ntotalDebt - 800400015360\ntotalRevenue - 123570003968\ndebtToEquity - 354.583\nrevenuePerShare - 78.283\ngrossProfits - 104349999104\nearningsGrowth - 0.62\nrevenueGrowth - 0.341\ngrossMargins - 0.84446\nebitdaMargins - 0.77672994\noperatingMargins - 0.59868\nexchange - NSI\nregularMarketPrice - 1044.7\nshortName - ADANI GREEN ENERGY LTD\nlongName - Adani Green Energy Limited\nepsTrailingTwelveMonths - 9.98\nepsCurrentYear - 20.41386\ntrailingPegRatio - None\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[BUSINESS SUMMARY]\nAdani Green Energy Limited generates and supplies renewable energy to central and state government entities and government backed corporations in India. The company develops, builds, owns, operates, and maintains power plants through renewable sources, such as solar, wind, and hybrid. It operates solar power plants with an operational capacity of 10,103 megawatts (MW); wind power plants with an operational capacity of 2,000 MW; and hybrid power plants with an operational capacity of 2,140 MW. Adani Green Energy Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India.\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[IMPORTANT METRICS]\nCompany: Adani Green Energy Limited\nSector: Utilities\nIndustry: Utilities - Renewable\nCountry: India\nMarket Cap: 1720.80B\nCurrent Price: 1044.7\nP/E Ratio: 104.67936\nP/B Ratio: 15.447059\nProfit Margin: 0.1385\nBeta: 0.9480\nVolume: 1,888,406\nAvg Volume: 2,937,362\nDay Range: 1040.9 - 1061.9\n52Wk Range: 758.0 - 1733.95\nTotal Revenue: 123570003968\nTotal Cash: 45.87B\nTotal Debt: 800.40B\nDebt to Equity: 354.583\nTarget Price: 792.0 - 1522.0\nAnalyst Opinions: 7\nRecommendation: strong_buy\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[TECHNICAL] Close_3d:1034.10,1040.00,1044.70 | RSI:52.41 | MACD:8.500/13.697/-5.197 | BB:1086.47/1052.38/1018.28 | MA:1052.38/1000.06 | ATR:27.63 | OBV:75,765,512 | WillR:-68.45 | CMF:-0.4069 | Ichi:1048.15/1075.93/1062.04/1040.53 | PSAR:1063.36 | Aroon:16.00/8.00 | VWAP:1012.35 | Force:23129380.90 | Mass:25.61 | Coppock:-3.39 | UltOsc:39.16\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[QUANT] AvgVol:3,842,109 | Price:1044.70 | VaR:-0.0426/-0.0759 | CVaR:-0.0668/-0.1166 | Std:0.0342 | AnnVol:0.5423 | DownDev:0.0305 | Skew:1.0368 | Kurt:10.9556 | Sharpe:-0.6743 | MaxDD:-0.5535 | VolRat:3.6151 | P/MA20:0.9927 | P/MA50:1.0446 | VolReg:0.7031 | Mom:-0.0933/0.0104 | MeanRet:-0.0014 | W/L:0.84 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:0.000000 | VolSurp:-0.4089 | Omega:0.8817 | Sortino:-0.7246 | TailR:1.1197 | ESRat:1.5710 | Hurst:0.1955 | HalfL:14.35 | Mom120:0.1535 | ApEn:0.4158",
        "industry": "Utilities - Renewable",
        "sector": "Utilities",
        "similarity_score": 0.615002155,
        "symbol": "ADANIGREEN.NS"
      }
    },
    "llm_analysis": {
      "actionable_summary": {
        "action": "sell",
        "bias": "bearish",
        "headline": "Adani Energy Q3 profit drops 8% despite 15% revenue growth",
        "rationale": "Margin compression driving profit decline"
      },
      "between_lines": "Market focused on profit decline rather than revenue growth",
      "confidence_score": 75,
      "connections": {
        "affects_directly": [
          "Adani Energy"
        ],
        "affects_indirectly": [
          "Adani Group stocks",
          "Renewable energy sector"
        ],
        "cause_effect_chain": "Higher costs \u2192 margin compression \u2192 profit drop \u2192 negative sentiment",
        "follow_the_money": "profit booking on margin compression"
      },
      "core": {
        "action": "earnings_beat/miss",
        "momentum": "fading",
        "momentum_reasoning": "Profit decline despite revenue growth indicates margin pressure and fading momentum",
        "sector": "Utilities",
        "topic": "Q3 earnings",
        "trigger": "Q3 results showing profit drop but revenue growth"
      },
      "cross_stock_impact": [
        {
          "impact_strength": 0.4,
          "impact_type": "negative",
          "reasoning": "Group sentiment impact",
          "symbol": "ADANIGREEN.NS"
        }
      ],
      "data_quality": {
        "article_length_tokens": 150,
        "has_financial_data": true,
        "has_price_data": false,
        "has_sentiment_indicators": true,
        "missing_critical_info": [
          "revenue number",
          "margin details"
        ],
        "overall_quality_score": 0.7
      },
      "deals": {
        "counterparty": [],
        "deal_currency": null,
        "deal_size": null,
        "deal_type": null
      },
      "entities": [
        {
          "name": "Adani Energy",
          "role": "victim",
          "ticker": null,
          "type": "company"
        }
      ],
      "financials": {
        "buyback": null,
        "data_source": "article",
        "dividend": null,
        "funding_amount": null,
        "guidance": null,
        "profit": 574,
        "revenue": null,
        "valuation": null
      },
      "market_reaction": {
        "expected_impact": "Negative reaction to profit drop",
        "index_impact": [],
        "price_change": null,
        "volume_change": null
      },
      "numerical_extractions": {
        "fiscal_period": "Q3",
        "mentioned_prices": [],
        "mentioned_targets": [],
        "poll_source": null,
        "profit_change_pct": -8,
        "revenue_change_pct": 15,
        "volume_growth_yoy_pct": null
      },
      "patterns": {
        "pattern_reasoning": "No clear technical pattern; mixed earnings signals",
        "pattern_type": null,
        "similar_past_event": null,
        "stage": "completed",
        "strength": "weak"
      },
      "rag_alignment": {
        "rag_company_relevant": "partial",
        "relevance_reasoning": "Similarity 0.615 suggests sectoral relevance; article mentions Adani Energy while RAG has Adani Green Energy Limited",
        "should_prioritize_rag": false,
        "similarity_interpretation": "sectoral_relevance"
      },
      "reasoning_chain": [
        "Q3 results show 8% profit drop",
        "Revenue grew 15% YoY",
        "Margin compression evident",
        "Negative market reaction expected"
      ],
      "red_flags": [
        "Profit decline despite revenue growth",
        "Margin compression evident",
        "No guidance provided"
      ],
      "sentiment": {
        "confidence": 0.8,
        "direction": "negative",
        "drivers": [
          "8% profit drop",
          "margin pressure",
          "revenue growth positive but insufficient"
        ],
        "intensity": 0.6
      },
      "signals": {
        "crowd_behavior": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "profit_booking"
        },
        "key_levels": {
          "source": "inference",
          "values": []
        },
        "price_action_expected": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "grind_down"
        },
        "reaction_reasoning": "Profit drop despite revenue growth signals margin pressure, likely to trigger selling",
        "volume_expectation": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "normal"
        }
      },
      "smart_money": {
        "big_players": [
          "institutional investors"
        ],
        "evidence": "Negative price reaction despite revenue growth",
        "retail_position": "following",
        "their_likely_motive": "profit booking on margin concerns"
      },
      "timing": {
        "catalyst_date": "2026-01-22",
        "expected_duration_days": 7,
        "temporal_anchor": "2026-01-22",
        "urgency": "today"
      },
      "trading_angles": [
        {
          "conviction": "medium",
          "idea": "Avoid fresh longs; watch for support near \u20b91000",
          "reasoning": "Negative sentiment on profit drop despite revenue growth",
          "risk": "Further margin compression"
        }
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "model_params": {
        "max_completion_tokens": 8192,
        "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-instruct-0905",
        "reasoning_effort": "medium",
        "stream": false,
        "temperature": 0.4,
        "top_p": 0.9
      },
      "timing": {
        "end_time": "2026-01-22T10:27:18.037518",
        "llm_response_seconds": 3.036,
        "rag_query_seconds": 1.019,
        "start_time": "2026-01-22T10:27:13.981369",
        "total_duration_seconds": 4.056
      },
      "tokens": {
        "actual_from_api": {
          "input_tokens": 4663,
          "output_tokens": 796,
          "total_tokens": 5459
        }
      }
    },
    "rag_match": {
      "company": "Adani Green Energy Limited",
      "sector": "Utilities",
      "similarity_score": 0.615002155,
      "symbol": "ADANIGREEN.NS"
    },
    "timestamp": "2026-01-22T10:27:18.037600"
  },
  "article_id": "69a0808e-3be2-420f-a784-353615791a73",
  "result_id": "20260122_102718",
  "status": "completed"
}