Analysis Result #10739

{
  "analysis": {
    "input_data": {
      "article": "Title: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Q3 results: Net profit rises 20%, revenue up 7%\n\nPublished: 2026-01-22\n\nContent: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC posted a 20% profit rise in Q3 to \u20b9269.4 crore, with revenue at \u20b9478 crore and QAAUM up 20% year-on-year.",
      "full_prompt_sent_to_llm": "=== NEWS ARTICLE ===\nTitle: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Q3 results: Net profit rises 20%, revenue up 7%\n\nPublished: 2026-01-22\n\nContent: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC posted a 20% profit rise in Q3 to \u20b9269.4 crore, with revenue at \u20b9478 crore and QAAUM up 20% year-on-year.\n\n=== TOP MATCHING STOCK FROM RAG ===\n\nSymbol: ABSLAMC.NS\nCompany: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited\nSector: Financial Services\nIndustry: Asset Management\nSimilarity Score: 0.5932 (59.32%)\n\nMarket Data:\n\u2022 Current Price: 851.35\n\u2022 Previous Close: 870.05\n\u2022 Day Low: 845.0\n\u2022 Day High: 878.5\n\u2022 52-Week Low: 556.45\n\u2022 52-Week High: 911.85\n\u2022 Volume: 217474\n\u2022 Avg Volume: 309036\n\nAdvanced Technical Indicators (21 total):\nClose_3d:862.05,870.05,851.35 | RSI:55.13 | MACD:9.635/4.359/5.276 | BB:887.93/827.07/766.22 | MA:827.07/838.80 | ATR:21.70 | OBV:10,212,365 | WillR:-38.17 | CMF:0.0058 | Ichi:842.12/827.65/834.89/839.52 | PSAR:851.20 | Aroon:72.00/36.00 | VWAP:781.98 | Force:3725552.11 | Mass:24.91 | Coppock:10.19 | UltOsc:43.84\n\nQuantitative Risk \u0026 Performance Metrics (35 total):\nAvgVol:358,035 | Price:851.35 | VaR:-0.0309/-0.0473 | CVaR:-0.0437/-0.0717 | Std:0.0214 | AnnVol:0.3402 | DownDev:0.0200 | Skew:0.0128 | Kurt:1.8901 | Sharpe:0.6442 | MaxDD:-0.3308 | VolRat:2.2682 | P/MA20:1.0294 | P/MA50:1.0150 | VolReg:1.0371 | Mom:0.0483/-0.0307 | MeanRet:0.0009 | W/L:0.93 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:7.367790 | VolSurp:-0.3720 | Omega:1.1246 | Sortino:0.7387 | TailR:1.2726 | ESRat:1.4177 | Hurst:0.2400 | HalfL:56.24 | Mom120:0.3327 | ApEn:0.6131\n\n=== ANALYZE THE ARTICLE (use RAG context if relevant) ===",
      "rag_context": {
        "company": "Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited",
        "country": "India",
        "description_preview": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: ABSLAMC.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited\n[SECTOR]: Financial Services\n[INDUSTRY]: Asset Management\n[COUNTRY]: India\n------------------------------------------------...",
        "full_description": "[STOCK SYMBOL]: ABSLAMC.NS\n[COMPANY NAME]: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited\n[SECTOR]: Financial Services\n[INDUSTRY]: Asset Management\n[COUNTRY]: India\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\ncountry - India\nindustry - Asset Management\nsector - Financial Services\nlongBusinessSummary - Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited is privately owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals including high net worth individuals and institutional clients. It manages separate equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also manages launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds, manages balanced mutual funds, and hedge funds for its clients. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. The firm employs a fundamental analysis to make its investments. It also make real estate investments. It was founded in 1994 and is based in Mumbai, India with an additional office in Ahmedabad, India. The firm was formerly known as Birla Sun Life Asset Management Company Limited.\nfullTimeEmployees - 1403\npreviousClose - 870.05\nopen - 875.0\ndayLow - 845.0\ndayHigh - 878.5\nregularMarketDayLow - 845.0\nregularMarketDayHigh - 878.5\ndividendRate - 24.0\ndividendYield - 2.76\nexDividendDate - 1753228800\npayoutRatio - 0.4017\nbeta - 0.233\ntrailingPE - 25.352886\nforwardPE - 24.541655\nvolume - 217474\nregularMarketVolume - 217474\naverageVolume - 309036\naverageVolume10days - 421090\naverageDailyVolume10Day - 421090\nmarketCap - 245775122432\nfiftyTwoWeekLow - 556.45\nfiftyTwoWeekHigh - 911.85\npriceToSalesTrailing12Months - 11.895376\nfiftyDayAverage - 838.754\ntwoHundredDayAverage - 745.1627\ntrailingAnnualDividendRate - 0.0\ntrailingAnnualDividendYield - 0.0\ncurrency - INR\nenterpriseValue - 215265607680\nprofitMargins - 0.47044\nfloatShares - 152180983\nsharesOutstanding - 288688720\nheldPercentInsiders - 0.44908002\nheldPercentInstitutions - 0.42006\nbookValue - 129.186\npriceToBook - 6.59011\nearningsQuarterlyGrowth - 0.176\nnetIncomeToCommon - 9720000512\ntrailingEps - 33.58\nforwardEps - 34.69\nenterpriseToRevenue - 10.419\nenterpriseToEbitda - 16.136\nlastDividendValue - 24.0\nquoteType - EQUITY\ncurrentPrice - 851.35\ntargetHighPrice - 1090.0\ntargetLowPrice - 820.0\ntargetMeanPrice - 923.9231\ntargetMedianPrice - 925.0\nrecommendationMean - 2.38462\nrecommendationKey - buy\nnumberOfAnalystOpinions - 13\ntotalCash - 36415098880\ntotalCashPerShare - 126.227\nebitda - 13340300288\ntotalDebt - 680600000\ntotalRevenue - 20661399552\ndebtToEquity - 1.826\nrevenuePerShare - 71.588\ngrossProfits - 16310800384\nearningsGrowth - 0.175\nrevenueGrowth - 0.174\ngrossMargins - 0.78943\nebitdaMargins - 0.64566004\noperatingMargins - 0.66091\nexchange - NSI\nregularMarketPrice - 851.35\nshortName - ADIT BIRL SUN LIF AMC LTD\nlongName - Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited\nepsTrailingTwelveMonths - 33.58\nepsCurrentYear - 37.1\ntrailingPegRatio - None\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[BUSINESS SUMMARY]\nAditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited is privately owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals including high net worth individuals and institutional clients. It manages separate equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also manages launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds, manages balanced mutual funds, and hedge funds for its clients. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. The firm employs a fundamental analysis to make its investments. It also make real estate investments. It was founded in 1994 and is based in Mumbai, India with an additional office in Ahmedabad, India. The firm was formerly known as Birla Sun Life Asset Management Company Limited.\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[IMPORTANT METRICS]\nCompany: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited\nSector: Financial Services\nIndustry: Asset Management\nCountry: India\nMarket Cap: 245.78B\nCurrent Price: 851.35\nP/E Ratio: 25.352886\nP/B Ratio: 6.59011\nDividend Yield: 2.7600%\nProfit Margin: 0.4704\nBeta: 0.2330\nVolume: 217,474\nAvg Volume: 309,036\nDay Range: 845.0 - 878.5\n52Wk Range: 556.45 - 911.85\nTotal Revenue: 20661399552\nTotal Cash: 36.42B\nTotal Debt: 680.60M\nDebt to Equity: 1.826\nTarget Price: 820.0 - 1090.0\nAnalyst Opinions: 13\nRecommendation: buy\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[TECHNICAL] Close_3d:862.05,870.05,851.35 | RSI:55.13 | MACD:9.635/4.359/5.276 | BB:887.93/827.07/766.22 | MA:827.07/838.80 | ATR:21.70 | OBV:10,212,365 | WillR:-38.17 | CMF:0.0058 | Ichi:842.12/827.65/834.89/839.52 | PSAR:851.20 | Aroon:72.00/36.00 | VWAP:781.98 | Force:3725552.11 | Mass:24.91 | Coppock:10.19 | UltOsc:43.84\n--------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n[QUANT] AvgVol:358,035 | Price:851.35 | VaR:-0.0309/-0.0473 | CVaR:-0.0437/-0.0717 | Std:0.0214 | AnnVol:0.3402 | DownDev:0.0200 | Skew:0.0128 | Kurt:1.8901 | Sharpe:0.6442 | MaxDD:-0.3308 | VolRat:2.2682 | P/MA20:1.0294 | P/MA50:1.0150 | VolReg:1.0371 | Mom:0.0483/-0.0307 | MeanRet:0.0009 | W/L:0.93 | Amihud:0.000000 | Roll:7.367790 | VolSurp:-0.3720 | Omega:1.1246 | Sortino:0.7387 | TailR:1.2726 | ESRat:1.4177 | Hurst:0.2400 | HalfL:56.24 | Mom120:0.3327 | ApEn:0.6131",
        "industry": "Asset Management",
        "sector": "Financial Services",
        "similarity_score": 0.593165398,
        "symbol": "ABSLAMC.NS"
      }
    },
    "llm_analysis": {
      "actionable_summary": {
        "action": "buy",
        "bias": "bullish",
        "headline": "ABSL AMC Q3 profit jumps 20% on AUM surge",
        "rationale": "Strong AUM growth, earnings beat, technical support at \u20b9845"
      },
      "between_lines": "Market may have priced in strong Q3; need Q4 guidance or dividend surprise next",
      "confidence_score": 75,
      "connections": {
        "affects_directly": [
          "ABSLAMC",
          "asset-management stocks"
        ],
        "affects_indirectly": [
          "NIFTY AMC index",
          "financial-services ETF"
        ],
        "cause_effect_chain": "Higher AUM \u2192 higher fee income \u2192 better margins \u2192 re-rating",
        "follow_the_money": "fee-income growth"
      },
      "core": {
        "action": "earnings_beat",
        "momentum": "building",
        "momentum_reasoning": "Profit up 20% YoY, revenue up 7%, QAAUM up 20% YoY, stock only down 2.1% from prev close despite weak broader market",
        "sector": "Financial Services",
        "topic": "Q3 earnings beat",
        "trigger": "20% net profit rise to \u20b9269.4 crore"
      },
      "cross_stock_impact": [
        {
          "impact_strength": 0.4,
          "impact_type": "positive",
          "reasoning": "Peer re-rating on AMC earnings strength",
          "symbol": "HDFCAMC.NS"
        },
        {
          "impact_strength": 0.3,
          "impact_type": "positive",
          "reasoning": "Sector sentiment lift",
          "symbol": "NAM-INDIA.NS"
        }
      ],
      "data_quality": {
        "article_length_tokens": 45,
        "has_financial_data": true,
        "has_price_data": true,
        "has_sentiment_indicators": true,
        "missing_critical_info": [
          "Q4 guidance",
          "dividend policy",
          "cost ratios"
        ],
        "overall_quality_score": 0.75
      },
      "deals": {
        "counterparty": [],
        "deal_currency": null,
        "deal_size": null,
        "deal_type": null
      },
      "entities": [
        {
          "name": "Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC",
          "role": "catalyst",
          "ticker": "ABSLAMC.NS",
          "type": "company"
        }
      ],
      "financials": {
        "buyback": null,
        "data_source": "article",
        "dividend": null,
        "funding_amount": null,
        "guidance": null,
        "profit": 269.4,
        "revenue": 478,
        "valuation": null
      },
      "market_reaction": {
        "expected_impact": "Positive sentiment for AMC space",
        "index_impact": [
          "NIFTY AMC"
        ],
        "price_change": "-2.1%",
        "volume_change": "-30%"
      },
      "numerical_extractions": {
        "fiscal_period": "Q3 FY26",
        "mentioned_prices": [],
        "mentioned_targets": [],
        "poll_source": null,
        "profit_change_pct": 20,
        "revenue_change_pct": 7,
        "volume_growth_yoy_pct": null
      },
      "patterns": {
        "pattern_reasoning": "Beat on profit growth, revenue inline, AUM expansion strong; stock holding up near 52-week highs",
        "pattern_type": "earnings_beat",
        "similar_past_event": null,
        "stage": "early",
        "strength": "moderate"
      },
      "rag_alignment": {
        "rag_company_relevant": "yes",
        "relevance_reasoning": "59.32% similarity, article directly about Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Q3 results",
        "should_prioritize_rag": true,
        "similarity_interpretation": "direct_match"
      },
      "reasoning_chain": [
        "Q3 profit +20% to \u20b9269.4 cr",
        "Revenue +7% to \u20b9478 cr",
        "QAAUM +20% YoY",
        "Stock only -2.1% post results",
        "Technical support at \u20b9845",
        "Expect grind up to \u20b9878-911"
      ],
      "red_flags": [
        "Stock down 2.1% on result day",
        "Volume 30% below average",
        "Hurst 0.24 signals mean-reversion not trending"
      ],
      "sentiment": {
        "confidence": 0.8,
        "direction": "positive",
        "drivers": [
          "20% profit growth",
          "7% revenue growth",
          "20% QAAUM growth",
          "asset-management fee tailwinds"
        ],
        "intensity": 0.75
      },
      "signals": {
        "crowd_behavior": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "excitement"
        },
        "key_levels": {
          "source": "article",
          "values": [
            "845",
            "878.5",
            "911.85"
          ]
        },
        "price_action_expected": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "grind_up"
        },
        "reaction_reasoning": "Volume_multiple 0.70 (light), but earnings beat and AUM growth should support gradual up-move; Hurst 0.24 indicates mean-reversion so expect range-bound grind",
        "volume_expectation": {
          "source": "inference",
          "value": "normal"
        }
      },
      "smart_money": {
        "big_players": [
          "domestic institutions",
          "HNIs"
        ],
        "evidence": "Volume at 70% of average, CMF slightly positive, RSI neutral",
        "retail_position": "following",
        "their_likely_motive": "accumulate on any dip post results"
      },
      "timing": {
        "catalyst_date": null,
        "expected_duration_days": 5,
        "temporal_anchor": "2026-01-22",
        "urgency": "this_week"
      },
      "trading_angles": [
        {
          "conviction": "medium",
          "idea": "Buy dips toward \u20b9845-850 with stop below \u20b9840",
          "reasoning": "Strong fundamentals, technical support at \u20b9845, upside to \u20b9878-911",
          "risk": "Market correction or AUM outflows"
        }
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "model_params": {
        "max_completion_tokens": 8192,
        "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-instruct-0905",
        "reasoning_effort": "medium",
        "stream": false,
        "temperature": 0.4,
        "top_p": 0.9
      },
      "timing": {
        "end_time": "2026-01-22T09:35:19.217393",
        "llm_response_seconds": 4.27,
        "rag_query_seconds": 0.823,
        "start_time": "2026-01-22T09:35:14.113284",
        "total_duration_seconds": 5.104
      },
      "tokens": {
        "actual_from_api": {
          "input_tokens": 4649,
          "output_tokens": 1024,
          "total_tokens": 5673
        }
      }
    },
    "rag_match": {
      "company": "Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited",
      "sector": "Financial Services",
      "similarity_score": 0.593165398,
      "symbol": "ABSLAMC.NS"
    },
    "timestamp": "2026-01-22T09:35:19.217748"
  },
  "article_id": "c5de35ff-8956-4451-94ad-ed588a0f5cbd",
  "result_id": "20260122_093519",
  "status": "completed"
}